18 October 2009

Anatomy of a Smear

Wow. This has to be read to be believed. According to Stephen Dubner on his blog at the NYT, in the dust-up over the SupreFreakonomics book (which I have not read) Joe Romm manufactures a smear of the book and its authors by making this request of Ken Caldeira, a climate scientist at Stanford (emphasis added):
"I want to trash them for this insanity and ignorance. . . my blog is read by everyone in this area, including the media. I’d like a quote like ‘The authors of SuperFreakonomics have utterly misrepresented my work,’ plus whatever else you want to say."
Caldeira did not provide the requested quote, what he did say according to Dubner was:
“The only significant error,” he wrote to Romm, “is the line: ‘carbon dioxide is not the right villain in this fight.’ That is just wrong and I never would have said it. On the other hand, I f&@?ed up. They sent me the draft and I approved it without reading it carefully and I just missed it. … I think everyone operated in good faith, and this was just a mistake that got by my inadequate editing.”
Is that the story that you get from Romm? Not even close. Romm spins and lies instead. Dubner explains how Romm didn't report the full story from Caldeira, but instead twisted it into a smear by reporting an untruth: "Levitt and Dubner didn’t run this quote by Caldeira . . ." We know from Dubner and confirmed by Caldeira that

. . . Caldeira did see that line, and the rest of the chapter too, not once but twice.

But that didn’t seem to matter. While Romm’s post never actually delivered the Caldeira quotes teased in the headline – that it was “an inaccurate portrayal of me” and “misleading” – the point was clear to any reader: everything SuperFreakonomics says about global warming must be wrong because the main climate scientist they write about has refuted what he said. It’s hard to blame the bloggers who subsequently repeated this story: if you didn’t know it was false, it would have seemed pretty newsworthy. It’s also hard to misinterpret what’s going on here. Now that global warming has transcended science to become a political issue, the rules of politics apply: if you don’t like someone’s position, attack their credibility.
For his part Caldeira expresses some regret at being drawn into the dispute:
“I was drawn in by Romm and Al Gore’s assistant into critiquing other parts of the chapter. Rather than acting deliberately, I panicked and commented on things that I now wish I would have been silent on. It was obviously a mistake to let myself get drawn into this, and I learned a quick and hard lesson in public relations.”
Caldeira also said of the book and its authors:
“I believe all of the ideas attributed to me are based on fact, with the exception of the ‘carbon dioxide is not the right villain’ line,” he wrote. “That said, when I am speaking, I place these facts in a very different context and draw different policy conclusions.” He added that “I believe the authors to have worked in good faith. They draw different conclusions than I draw from the same facts, but as authors of the book, that is their prerogative.”
Dubner accepts Caldeira's critique, and even though Caldeira had two chances to correct the text before publication:
I understand why Caldeira now feels that the “villain” line overstates his position. I certainly wish we had discussed amending it earlier, and it’s probably a good idea to change that linein future editions of the book.
The story here is a climate scientist being played as a fool in the political battle over climate change. Joe Romm often engages in some pretty dirty politics in smearing the credibility of people whose views that he disagrees with, which in the past has included me. That people play dirty politics is not a surprise. That Joe Romm is taken seriously by the mainstream media and the mainstream scientific community says a lot about them as well.

20 comments:

deepclimate said...

Dubner says Romm never "delivered" the quote about "inaccurate portrayal". One might be forgiven for thinking that the quote doesn't exist, or at least it appears that Dubner is implying that it might not.

Now we know the relevant section from Caldeira's email read:

So, yes, my representation in the Superfreakonomics book is damaging to me because it is an inaccurate portrayal of me. The problem is the inaccurate portrayal, not my actions or statements.


And let's not forget this other quote from Caldeira:

If you talk all day, and somebody picks a half dozen quotes without providing context because they want to make a provocative and controversial chapter, there is not much you can do.


Romm also pointed out several factual errors in the chapter; those criticisms appear to be on target.

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

-1-deepclimate

Let's keep two issues separate here, one is the substance of what is written in SuperFreakonomics. That is not at all what this post is about. This post is about Romm goading a scientist into making some comments and then Romm taking those comments and spinning/misprepresenting them to make the book's authors look like they did some ethically questionable things. It turns out that there is indeed some unethical behavior going on here, but it is not the SuperFreakonomics authors.

Lets say that their portrayal of climate science is egregiously bad (I don;t know for myself, but lets just say that). that does not excuse lying and misrepresenting them to "trash them" (Romm's words). Caldeira on Leavitt and Dubner: "I believe the authors to have worked in good faith."

I know that some people believe that the ends justify the means in debate over climate change. I just am not one of them. That you appear to believe that lying to "trash" someone is OK in this context says something about you as well.

SBVOR said...

Perhaps Caldeira did not say “carbon dioxide is not the right villain”, but I will.

In fact, I’ll go one giant step further and say there is no villain (other than the possible threat of another Little Ice Age).

As Dr. Ian Plimer said:
“We are the first generation of organisms on planet earth that has ever [foolishly] feared a warm climate.”

IF anthropogenic CO2 has contributed a tiny bit to the tiny (and, almost certainly temporary) reprieve from the on-going, unbroken 10,000 year cooling trend in both the northern hemisphere AND the southern hemisphere, we should be grateful -- not fearful.

What we should fear (or, more rationally, prepare for) is a repeat of the Little Ice Age. We may already be trending in that direction. Worse still -- but probably 50,000 years off -- will be the next glacial period. That will absolutely, positively come. And, when it does, New York City will -- once again -- be covered by glaciers 1,000 thick.

Neither Roger, nor any of his readers, nor anybody else has EVER offered so much as a single suggestion of a single flaw in any element of either my brief overview or my larger presentation.

Come on! If this is SUCH a problem that we MUST trust moronic government bureaucrats to completely reengineer the world economies and the global energy sector, at LEAST show me ONE flaw in my brief overview demonstrating how SILLY this utter nonsense is.

bigcitylib said...

Yes but the origonal misrepresentation is by the authors, in the text that Caldeira later mis-read. Surely the greater onus is on the authors for writing "~P" when the person they quoted said "P".

And surely misrepresenting Caldeira this badly (and not just on the one particular quote) is ethically questionable.

"Lets say that their portrayal of climate science is egregiously bad (I don;t know for myself, but lets just say that)."

Does this mean that you don't know that solar panels aren't all black? How badly does someone have to screw up for you to acknowledge that its egregiously bad?

Honest broker or home town referee?

Sharon F. said...

Roger- I agree with you on the ends and the means thing..
More importantly, though, Dr. King once said this:
"We will never have peace in the world until men everywhere recognize that ends are not cut off from means, because the means represent the ideal in the making, and the end in process. Ultimately, you can't reach good ends through evil means, because the means represent the seed and the end represents the tree."

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

-4-bigcitylib

When I say I haven't read the book, that can be safely interpreted as meaning that I haven't read the book. Of course if you think I lie about everything you can believe whatever you want ;-)

When Caldeira says: "I believe all of the ideas attributed to me are based on fact, with the exception of the ‘carbon dioxide is not the right villain’ line"

and on that last point:

"I f&@?ed up. They sent me the draft and I approved it without reading it carefully and I just missed it."

I think it is safe to conclude that we have what is often called outside the blogosphere an "honest mistake" with blame to go around.

Jason S said...

bigcitylib,

I love the double standard. According to Caldeira, Dubner got one line wrong and that was "just a mistake that got by my inadequate editing", but you are ready to accuse him of questionable ethics.

Meanwhile you want to give Romm a complete pass, even though he deliberately distorted Caldeira's version of what happened.

deepclimate said...

Roger,
Your suggestion that I "appear to believe lying is OK" is repugnant.

My point was and is that Dubner's account misleads and distorts more than Romm's.

Dubner claims that he did not "misrepresent" Caldeira's views in his book. But Caldeira clearly said that "my representation" was an "inaccurate portrayal".

Dubner clings to the fiction that the "villain" line was merely an "overstatement". But Caldeira now clearly says on his website, "CO2 is the right villain".

I'll believe that Dubner is truly interested in correcting the misrepresentation of Caldeira, once that quote is promininently displayed in the forthcoming revised edition of the book.

As to whether Romm "lied", two points should be made:
a) "Running quotes by someone" is not the same thing as giving a whole chapter draft and expecting someone to find all quotes attributed to them.
b) I would reserve judgment until we can see the entire sequence of emails, including the timing of each and context of various statements. It may well be that Caldeira saw two versions of the stetment, but that Romm did not know that at the time he wrote his first piece.

One final point - Dubner refers to, and rejects, criticism by a "well known environmental group" accusing the group of saying things that were not "actually true". The Sierra Club? Greenpeace, perhaps? It turns out the group was the Union of Concerned Scientists. And I found their criticsms to the point (like Romm's) and remarkably free of rhetoric (admittedly unlike Romm's).

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

-8-deepclimate

You write: "My point was and is that Dubner's account misleads and distorts more than Romm's."

Caldeira, who you are defending here, says: "“I believe the authors to have worked in good faith."

Now, apparently you do not. Good for you. But since the issue that we are discussing is how Caldeira was represented, you'll understand why I'll take his views over yours.

Do you believe Romm acted in good faith based on his emails released by Caldeira?

It is funny to see you defend Romm's lies by trying to argue that someone else's supposed lies were worse. My kids sometimes like to use such logic, and it doesn't work so well for them either ;-)

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

A journalist questions Romm's claim that feeding people quotes is standard journalistic practice:

http://www.collide-a-scape.com/2009/10/19/psst-heres-the-quote-id-like/

Michael Smith said...

It's obvious what has happened here.

An energetic and dedicated member of the flock -- Romm -- has spotted two people, Dubner and Levitt, that are spreading the vilest heresy of all: that global warming might be combated by having the virus known as “man” deliberately modify the sacred environment! Blasphemy! All true believers know that the very existence of man is the basic problem!

To stop this horror in its tracks, Romm needs a church elder -- Caldeira -- to denounce these two heretics, so that Romm can then lead a crusade of his torch-bearing "bigcitylibs" and "deepclimates" to intimidate Dubner and Levitt into silence or so smear their reputation that no one will pay any attention to what they say.

But Caldeira has gone wobbly on Romm, the effort to cast an honest error as deliberate lie has been exposed, and the crusade is sputtering. Caldeira had better watch his back now. No one is safe when there are witches to be purged from the flock.

Maurice Garoutte said...

On Oct 8, 2009 Roger titled a thread “Is Belief in Climate Change a Religion?” To demonstrate my grasp of the obvious; this thread is not remotely related to science.

Joe Romm does a good job of communicating the revealed Truth of his denomination, the Center for American Progress. Having spent some (ok too much) time reading various global warming viewpoints it’s become clear that the CAP is not a reliable source of information about science. This is just one more example.

Since time is short I just assume that any viewpoint, on any topic, from the CAP is just as accurate as any climate change story from Joe.

deepclimate said...

[sigh]

I'm not suggesting that Dubner and Levitt misrepresented Caldeira on purpose. But they did misrepresent his views. Caldeira himself said it was an "inaccurate portrayal". No doubt about it.

They also failed to change the "villain" quote, even after Caldeira objected to it. At the time that Caldeira wrote that he thought the authors were in "good faith", he also thought that they had not received his objection to the "villain" line. Caldeira wrote: "I do not think my edited version was ever returned to Dubner ... because it got lost." But it turned out the authors had received his objection, yet still didn't change the quote. Those are essential facts missing from Dubner's account.

Among many other errors and misrepresentations in his blog post, Dubner claims that his book was never searchable on Amazon and that no one "turned off" the search capability. That turns out to be plain wrong. Was it "a lie"? Well Dubner gets so much stuff wrong that I admit it's hard to know when he is deliberately misleading or when he's just making stuff up because he doesn't really know.

Anyone who wants to get all the facts, including what appears to be a statement by Caldeira that the authors didn't initially give him the draft directly, but that he got a section third hand from Nathan Myrhvold (as Romm stated), should read Romm's latest post. That post contains a lot more of the actual emails than we have seen before.

Read Romm, read Dubner. Get all the facts. Then decide who is misleading and distorting.

Roger Pielke, Jr. said...

-13-deepclimate

We do agree on this point:

"Read Romm, read Dubner. Get all the facts. Then decide who is misleading and distorting."

Jason S said...

deepclimate,

The following appears to be false:

'They also failed to change the "villain" quote, even after Caldeira objected to it.'

In fact, Dubner has already indicated that it will be changed in future editions.

Where did you get this idea?

omniclimate said...

Motes and beams, guys, it's motes and beams all the way down

deepclimate said...

Read the Romm piece. It's clear that Caldeira objected to the "villain" quote when he commented on the draft sent to him by Myhrvold. The later second draft sent by the authors did not contain any change, only some additional commentary.

As I mentioned above, even now Dubner refuses to admit it was a misquote. But in any event he should have changed it the first time.

EliRabett said...

FWIW, perhaps it would be useful for everyone to go over to Caldeira's blog and look at the label under his picture

"Carbon dioxide is the right villain,"
says Caldeira, "insofar as inanimate objects can be villains."

http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab/

you might also take a look at some of his lab's articles on geoengineering. He ain't an advocate for implementation. Research yes, but his group knows too much about the problems to be an advocate. To set him up as an advocate for geoengineering is dishonest.

EliRabett said...

Good to see Dubner walking back their characterization of Caldeira's position. Could you provide a link.

deepclimate said...

#18 Eli

Yep, that's what I was referring to back in #8. It's still there. I guess Caldeira means it.

Post a Comment