Der Speigel asks whether Germany's ambitious energy transition is going according to plan. From
the graph above, which is for Bavaria, it looks like Germany had better stock up on carbon offsets, because something looks to give and I suspect that it won't be the lights going out.
6 comments:
Comrade Putin's Pals are going to make lot's and lot's of $$$$. Gas...Russian Gas...it's whats for dinner.
Looked up some statistics.
Bavaria currently produces 40% of all solar electricity in Germany. It gets about 6 % of its electricity from solar PV right now. Electricity generation in 2009 was around 86 TWh. Thus they would have to generate around 14 TWh with solar by 2020.
It is in fact not such a bad deal for Bavarians. Solar PV in Germany earns huge subsidies, around 12 billion euros annually right now. If they triple their PV capacity, they triple the subsidies to Bavarian PV companies. Of course, cost is paid by all Germans using electricity.
Won't a lot of that gas actually come from Poland?
@ Tom #3
Won't a lot of that gas actually come from Poland?
According to the 2011 BP Statistical Energy review Poland produced 4.1 billion cubic meters of gas in 2010 and consumed 14.4 billion cubic meters.
Poland is a 'middle man'.
Germany produced 10.6 billion cubic meters in 2010 and consumed 81.3 billion cubic meters.
Norway and the Netherlands have some excess gas but not enough to supply all of Europe.
This is one of the great failures of the AGW movement.
The movement has been successfully derailed and seems to like it.
Their alleged top priority, to reduce the emissions of CO2 to 'save the climate' is a complete failure in Germany, yet because Germany is willing to waste tax money on trivial solar power projects, they are apparently mollified.
This implies a great deal more of cynical profiteering at he the heart of the AGW movement than was suspected earlier.
OT -
Roger have you seen this lbnl china 2050 projection?
Any comment on the AIS scenario. IMHO It's probably one of the better efforts at trying to model 'the future' as it takes into account such things as saturation, mining extraction challenges etc.(prediction is hard)
http://china.lbl.gov/sites/china.lbl.gov/files/2050_Summary_Report_042811_FINAL.pdf
Post a Comment