The chairman of the UN's panel of climate scientists defended his Nobel-winning group on Tuesday against criticism that it had erroneously forecast an early disappearance of the Himalayan glaciers.When the issue was raised in a report by the Indian government late last year, Dr. Pachauri had this to say:A section of a 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said the probability of glaciers in the Himalayas "disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high."
IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri, addressing reporters at the World Future Energy Summit in Abu Dhabi, said that even if the remarks on Himalayan glaciers is incorrect, it does not undermine evidence supporting the existence of climate change.
"Theoretically, let's say we slipped up on one number, I don't think it takes anything away from the overwhelming scientific evidence of what's happening with the climate of this earth," he said.
"I've never used that figure in any of my talks, because I think it's not for the IPCC to make predictions of outcomes or dates. We always give ranges, and that's scientifically the way to do it. We always give ... scenarios of what might happen."
Pachauri, whose panel was harshly criticised by India's environment minister, said the IPCC will respond to the criticism by the end of the week.
"Before the end of the week, we will certainly come to a position and make it known. We are looking into the source of that information, the veracity of it and what it is that the IPCC should say on the subject." . . .
Responding to a question, Pachauri said he feels he is being attacked personally over the potential flaw.
But he put a positive spin on the situation, saying: "You know, you can't attack the science, so attack the chair of the IPCC."
The environment ministry on Monday published a discussion paper stating that there was no conclusive evidence to prove that the Himalayan glaciers are melting due to climate change.For his part Dr. Raina is now asking for an apology from the IPCC:
The report, released by Union environment minister Jairam Ramesh, however, made it clear that the views expressed by the author, Dr V K Raina, retired deputy director-general of the Geological Survey of India, are not that of the Union government and that it is meant to "stimulate discussion". . .
Dr Pachauri, when contacted by TOI for a response to the discussion paper, said, "I'd like to find out the secret source of this divine intervention... I don't understand the logic of this... I am puzzled where this magical science has come from... This is something indefensible."
When asked if the discussion paper could be taken into consideration in the on-going round of scientific review by IPCC, he said, "IPCC studies only peer-review science. Let someone publish the data in a decent credible publication. I am sure IPCC would then accept it, otherwise we can just throw it into the dustbin."
India's senior-most glaciologist V K Raina today said the chief of the UN climate body should apologise to the scientist fraternity for dubbing their work on melting of Himalayan glaciers as "voodoo science".Still more to come, no doubt.
Raina's demand comes even as the UN body, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC) headed by R K Pachauri, deliberates on retracting its statement on Himalayan glaciers melting.
"The IPCC had dumped our report that the glaciers have not retreated abnormally. Now, with the truth out in open, the IPCC should dump its own report which was based on mere speculation," Raina told PTI.
3 comments:
Time magazine ran a piece in Dec. 2009 titled "The Tragedy of the Himalayas". Dr. Syed Iqbal Hasnain (the source of the speculative New Scientist/WWF factoid) is, arguably, the central character of the Time article.
At one point we're told: "What's needed is cold, hard data in a cold, hard place. That's what Syed Iqbal Hasnain is after."
But in the very next paragraph, Dr. Hasnain implies that he doesn't actually need data: "The debate is over," he says. "We know the science. We see the threat. The time for action is now."
Elsewhere in the article, an engineer declares: "I have seen glaciers disappear in my own life. I don't need the scientific data. I am the scientific data."
Oh, brother!
http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/printout/0,29239,1929071_1929070_1945667,00.html
"Rajendra Pachauri, IPCC chair, responds directly to the flap over the error on Himalayan glacier melting in the IPCC report:"
[quote addressing the 2035 error]
"When the issue was raised in a report by the Indian government late last year, Dr. Pachauri had this to say:"
[quote discussing the Indian Government report]
Of course, if one actually reads the Government report, namely Chapter 8 of http://www.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/[…]/MoEDiscussionPaper.pdf, one finds not a single reference to the IPCC or 2035, but rather a number of dubious statements about climate change.
I think it is rather disingenuous to conflate the two issues this way.
Most of the politician and scientists had started believing IPCC's Reports on Climate Change as gospel truth, till the 'Himalayan blunder' got exposed.
In a small booklet about to see the light of the day shortly, when I mentioned about Raina's research paper on Siachin glaciers that they have remained static within the last 100 years,inspite of claim (by IPCC) that the Himalayan glaciers are going to disappear by 2035, I was almost rediculed. The scutinizers were probably so much influenced by the IPCC's reports that the publication of the book got delayed.
Thanks to Jairam Ramesh that he realised the importance of the above work by Raina,though Pachauri was furious on the issue and almost rebuked the Minister. Pachauri's chair need's a jolt!
Post a Comment