Also in the very odd department, consider how AAAS Science Insider responds to this news:
"Polarbeargate" may not be the gold mine that climate change denialists had hoped for.AAAS, Climate change denialists? Really? And people wonder why leading institutions of science have been diminished in the eyes of many people (the most fervent partisans excepted).
On a more positive note several environmental groups have kicked into gear on this issue with a focus on issues of scientific integrity (even if placed in the political context of Arctic drilling). Greenwire reports today that the CBD and Greenpeace have sent a letter to Ken Salazar, head of the Department of Interior, and John Holdren, president's science advisor, demanding a response under President Obama's science integrity guidelines. From the Greenwire story:
In their letter to Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, Greenpeace Research Director Kert Davies and CBD Senior Counsel Kassie Siegel pointed to Interior's decision yesterday to grant Shell approval to begin exploratory drilling in the Arctic Ocean.Of course, let's not lose sight of what really matters here -- what does this episode mean for battles with climate change denialists?
BOEMRE, they wrote, "seems determined to restrict scientists from engaging in or disseminating research that provides critical information on the potential impacts of oil drilling in a rapidly changing Arctic."
Davies and Siegel also claim that the investigation violates the spirit of President Obama's 2009 executive order on scientific integrity, which directed agencies to develop policies to prohibit political interference in research. They point to the transcript of Monnett's interview with IG investigators, in which he was asked about his 2006 research. Publicized by Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility, the transcript reveals a seemingly tense interview in which Monnett explains the math behind his calculations.
"Based on the transcript of that interview, it appears that Dr. Monnett is himself being subjected to precisely the type of political interference in his work that the Executive Order and scientific integrity policy are designed to prevent," they wrote. "This apparent interference is originating not only from the IG, which has sent agents with no scientific training to ask decidedly unscientific questions about bizarre allegations relating to the polar bear paper, but also, as it emerged during the interview, from BOEMRE managers themselves."
The groups are requesting copies of any correspondence between BOEMRE and Shell on Monnett and his research.

12 comments:
Has anyone thought of the possibility that the Feds are upset that the study they intended to use to justify blocking an oil permit turned out to be both sloppy and so poorly documented the justification was no longer possible? Prosecutors have been known to turn on star witnesses.
Roger,
Polar bear has a twisted meaning today. One of them killed an English in Svalvard. Got dead in the process. One less polar bear:
http://ecotretas.blogspot.com/2011/08/those-deadly-cute-polar-bears.html
Ummm, I don't know what Polarbeargate is supposed to be so I'm not sure what gold mine it isn't. I do know that the light shined on the study is really, really bad news for anyone who ever reviewed, published, cited or relied on it. And that has nothing to do with integrity or fraud.
I can imagine 'denialists' having a wonderful time in talks to groups about the shoddiness of climate science by discussing the quality of this study. Ridiculous incompetence provides a lot of laugh lines.
He saw 4 bears. Days later he saw 3 dead bears. So mortality was 75%. Imagine if he'd only see 2 bears on the earlier flight. Mortality would have been 150%!
Some day people will write dissertations on the madness that overtook the scientific community in the West over the Great Climate Scare. They'll have no shortage of material to work with. Needless to say, the analogies to German and Soviet scientific societies will be obvious.
AGW is pretty much tracking the arc of prior social manias.
They do not end with an apology and hand shake.
But Monnett's work says nothing about the effects of drilling in the Arctic. His claim was that bad weather had killed some bears.
From that the assumption was made by others (poorly IMO) that the bad weather could be linked to global warming. So fossil fuels were killing polar bears.
But from an AGW point of view, oil taken the Sahara generates just as much CO2 and therefore is just as dangerous for global warming. Drilling in the arctic is a dangerous business, but its direct contribution to global warming is limited, and not justified at all by Monnett's piece on the drowned bears.
So Greenwire are off on a fairly standard Green red herring in linking the two. They want to scare people about polar bears dying (despite their population being stable) and scare people about environmental damage in the arctic (which is "pristine" largely because it is wasteland) and scare people about fossil fuels causing global warming. So they wrap all three in a bundle despite being quite separate issues.
Mark, spot on. The conflation of local environmental issues with global fossil/CO2 emissions drives me nuts.
The AP has a fairly complete article.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ih8tN0HG8r4dZ4JCahzQSONaG3ww?docId=7ce6cb2f44114ba880893ea4698bd796
If I recall the transcipt of the actual interview and combine it with the AP article the picture seems a bit clearer.
The 'discovery' of the drowning polar bears was done on flights paid for by a grant to study bow head whales.
Way back when I worked for the government I stopped in a McDonald's for lunch in an official government vehicle after having completed my official government business.
A mistake I never repeated. It did not matter that the McDonald's was 'on the way'. Stopping at McDonald's was not part of my official duties and doing so in an official vehicle was just plain wrong.
If one reads the actual transcript the discussion with investigators centered around utilization of the 'official government vehicle' for it's intended purpose...counting bowhead whales.
If I look at the daily flight tracks for the BWASP program...most of the tracks are straight lines...some of the tracks meander a bit...there could be a perfectly good explanation...or someone could have been on a joyride.
http://www.alaska.boemre.gov/ess/bwasp/bwasp/bwasp.htm
@Harry,
In the immortal words of John McEnroe,
You can't be serious@!#?
I think you may have got your wires crossed and were thinking of this story instead
@Marlowe
That was hilarious, thanks for the link.
Please read the article before commenting any further on this topic:
https://motherjones.com/files/7_28_11_polar_bear_paper.pdf
Roger:
NPR is reporting today that the reason for the investigation into the "Polar Bear Paper" is because the author might have paid a Pro Quid Pro for the review.
http://www.npr.org/2011/08/10/139276565/polar-bear-scientist-faces-new-questions
Post a Comment